Supreme Backpack (FW18) Red

Apparel - September 10, 2018

Supreme FW18 Bag Profits Are Expected To Climb

Jesse Einhorn

Senior Economist at StockX

The waist bags, shoulder bags, and backpacks have been the biggest hits of the Fall/Winter 2018 Supreme season. If prices continue to mirror last season, expect profits to climb.

The waist bags, shoulder bags, and backpacks have been the biggest hits of the Fall/Winter 2018 Supreme season. If prices continue to mirror last season, expect profits to climb.

Thus far, the biggest hits of the Fall/Winter 2018 Supreme season have been the waist bags, shoulder bags, and backpacks. Roughly 300 items were released in Week 1, and yet the Supreme FW18 bags made up an astounding 30% of total sales.

Despite having been on the market for 3 full weeks, theĀ Supreme FW18 bag bags have consistently ranked in the top 5 in sales each and every day since their August 20 drop. And profits have been significant:

Thus far, prices on the FW bags have tracked almost perfectly with their Spring/Summer counterparts.Ā Last seasonā€™s shoulder bag debuted at $113;Ā this seasonā€™s version debuted at $119.Ā Last seasonā€™s waist bag debuted at $124; this seasonā€™s debuted at $131.Ā And last seasonā€™s backpack debuted at $204. While this seasonā€™s debut at $210.

Assuming the FW18 bag prices continue to mirror those of last season, resellers should think twice before flipping too fast. SS18 bag prices saw significant gains between the time of their release in February and the end of summer. There was a large restock in May that caused a temporary price decline. But the overall trajectory was decidedly positive.

This was especially true over the summer months, when bagĀ prices increased dramatically. The following chart shows how the waist bag, shoulder bag, and backpack prices behaved between late May and the end of August:

Between the Memorial Day and Labor Day weekends, the SS18 backpacks saw average prices increases of 25%; SS18 shoulder bags increased an average of 68%; and SS18 waist bags climbed an astounding 84% – nearly doubling their resale price in the course of just 3 months.

The FW18 bags are already yielding significant profits on the secondary market; but if resellers can exercise patience, there are likely larger paydays not too far down the road.